Nursing Shortage Looms for San Francisco Bay Area, Central Valley, and Central Coast of California

Tue December 11, 2018

Some regions of California face nursing shortages, according to new projections of supply and demand through 2035 by Healthforce Center at UCSF. The forecasts, which account for population growth, population aging, and anticipated changes in the numbers of new registered nurse (RN) graduates, are the first regional projections completed since 2007. Substantial shortages are projected for the San Francisco, Central Valley, and Central Coast regions, while surpluses may emerge in the Sacramento and Los Angeles regions.

The Regional Forecasts of the RN Workforce in California, developed by Joanne Spetz, PhD, FAAN – University of California, San Francisco, can be viewed below.

Forecast Summary

Central Coast

Los Angeles

Central Valley

Inland Empire

Northern California


SF Bay Area

Southern Border